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Balance Sheet Normalization

This year, the Fed announced that it would attempt to normalize their $4+ trillion balance sheet at the maximum rate of $50 million per month. At that rate, we’ll be back at pre-crisis levels by Mid 2023 … if nothing bad happens.

Federal Reserve Balance Sheet

Fed Funds Projections

The Fed is currently projecting the following Fed Funds rates:

2017: 1.4 (1 hike)
2018: 2.1 (3 hikes)
2019: 2.7 (2.5 hikes)
2020: 2.9 (1 hike)